According to regional and global weather conditions ENSO & IOD neutral conditions still persists and most of the global model suggests that El-Niño conditions are likely to emerge (with 61% chances) during May-July. The observed climate suggests that May and June are the hottest month during the year while south Punjab, upper Sindh, southern/eastern Balochistan are the heat prone areas of the country with temperatures shoot sometimes up to 52 °C due to heatwave conditions. However normal temperature range in these areas is between 43 to 45 °C in May and June.

According to observational data, temperatures in these areas are 02 to 04 °C above normal range now a days. A mild heat wave conditions are likely to develop in southern parts from 29th April to 03rd May.  Upper parts of the country are likely to be affected by the westerly wave from 27th (night) to 29th April and 03rd to 05th May. Due to westerly wave, temperatures are likely to drop 02 to 04 °C during the period.

PMD is continuously monitoring the situation. If any heatwave is likely to develop, an update will be issued accordingly.